Forecasting Net

Observe the new digital natives! Babies easily learn how to work on an iPad but have a hard time figuring out a magazine. It will be very difficult to explain our world to them when they grow up. A new trend is rising, as Apple has managed to “recode” babies’ “OS” and ours as well. Well, that’s the triumph of Steve Jobs as seen from the eyes of a baby!

Observe the shift of power from Western to Asian economies, in this "journey" of global economic dominance, starting after World War II all the way up to 2010. Find out why this is a long term trend and how we could have predicted it decades ago.

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It came out of “nowhere” in a world of “giants”. Established social media players like Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn already count more than 1 billion users worldwide. A great challenge even for another big internet player. Apparently, Google had one more ace up its sleeve, Google+. It took just 16 days for the new social network...

Henry Kissinger, former Secretary of State under Nixon, made two trips to China, in July and October 1971. That was just a few years before the Chinese miracle began, when Deng Xiaoping succeeded Mao Zedong in the late 1970s.

When asked, during a recent TV appearance in CNN, Ki...

Following the 2008 credit crunch, the global economy entered a serious recession, marking negative growth rates at 2009, for the first time in 60 years. The initial efforts of the G20 to reinitiate the economy by the deployment of extensive stimulus packages, although successful in the beginning, resulted in the significant rise of public debts challenging the ...

I’ve written before about the future of computer interaction based on MS Kinect like interfaces. I always thought that it would be one of the big IT players, perhaps Microsoft, to launch something to replace the mouse and provide the means for 3D, gesture based, computer navigation. It seems though that another n...

According to Joseph Schumpeter...

Today’s clear winner is tomorrow’s obvious mistake. It's no news that our world is changing rapidly, sometimes in directions that we do not anticipate. And that's good because it gives the opportunity to newcomers to advance quickly and introduce new ideas and concepts thus changing the competitive landscape forever. Take social media, for instance. It's no secret today that Myspace is washed-out. But it wasn't always like this...

Find out more about t...

An excellent article about innovation dynamics based on Kondratiev long waves theory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kondratiev_wave).

Could it be that we are at the peak of the innovation cycle, facing a possible downfall in the future? Just consider the implications for our technology driven world…

Click here for ...

Check out the facts in this link and see the "rising" economy from a different angle.

Discover how deep is Facebook, YouTube, LinkedIn, Twitter, and other social media networks, attached to our personal and professional lives. Learn why they are so important, by comparing their average number of Google searches per month against celebrities, IT giants, and dream gadgets.

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Following a previous entry about global CO2 concentration level and a suggestion by a LinkedIn group member, I used the Forecasting Tool to forecast the global temperature rise. I used actual data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)* for 1950 up to 2...

Check out this link regarding ultra fast data transmission based on quantum teleportation!

Visit www.growth-dynamics.com, a valuable resource, for everyone interested in forecasting. Theodore Modis, an acclaimed scientist and futurist, is largely responsible for making S-curve fitting, the same methodology that I used in developing the Forecasting Tool application, known to a broader audience.

Check out my favorite...

In this excellent video, Arthur Clarke predicts our future back in 1964! Makes us all feel “envy” of this incredible man and futurist…

The increased CO2 concentration level due to human activity contribute to global warming with significant repercussions to our planet. At 2008, the CO2 level was 385.34* ppm (parts per million). According to recent research**, if we reach the 450 ppm limit, this will result in an increase of the global temperature by more than 2°C (3.6°F) with catastrophic repercussions for the environment. This is the limit that usually most developed countries take into account when drawing their ...

When I show the Social Network movie, I was intrigued by the way that Facebook came out of nothing and gradually evolved to the most successful social media site today. It launched on 2004 and reached the first million active users by the end of the same year. After 2004, it really went sky high, reaching 500 million active users, in less than 6 years! Naturally, I was amazed and asked myself the obvious question: how far this could go on without stopping. Will ...