Forecasting Net

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iPad vs magazines: and the winner is ...

Posted by Forecasting Net on October 25, 2011 at 6:30 PM Comments comments (0)

Observe the new digital natives! Babies easily learn how to work on an iPad but have a hard time figuring out a magazine. It will be very difficult to explain our world to them when they grow up. A new trend is rising, as Apple has managed to “recode” babies’ “OS” and ours as well. Well, that’s the triumph of Steve Jobs as seen from the eyes of a baby!


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The rise and fall of modern empires - Part I

Posted by Forecasting Net on October 1, 2011 at 1:35 AM Comments comments (11)

Observe the shift of power from Western to Asian economies, in this "journey" of global economic dominance, starting after World War II all the way up to 2010. Find out why this is a long term trend and how we could have predicted it decades ago.


Download the full analysis here


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Google+: Is this the next Facebook?

Posted by Forecasting Net on July 23, 2011 at 3:32 AM Comments comments (0)

It came out of “nowhere” in a world of “giants”. Established social media players like Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn already count more than 1 billion users worldwide. A great challenge even for another big internet player. Apparently, Google had one more ace up its sleeve, Google+. It took just 16 days for the new social network...

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Henry Kissinger talks about the China challenge, forty years after his visit!

Posted by Forecasting Net on July 18, 2011 at 12:30 PM Comments comments (2)

Henry Kissinger, former Secretary of State under Nixon, made two trips to China, in July and October 1971. That was just a few years before the Chinese miracle began, when Deng Xiaoping succeeded Mao Zedong in the late 1970s.


When asked, during a recent TV appearance in CNN, Ki...

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Global economic crisis: could we have predicted it?

Posted by Forecasting Net on July 11, 2011 at 3:20 PM Comments comments (15)

Following the 2008 credit crunch, the global economy entered a serious recession, marking negative growth rates at 2009, for the first time in 60 years. The initial efforts of the G20 to reinitiate the economy by the deployment of extensive stimulus packages, although successful in the beginning, resulted in the significant rise of public debts challenging the ...

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The future of computer interaction

Posted by Forecasting Net on July 3, 2011 at 8:35 AM Comments comments (0)

I’ve written before about the future of computer interaction based on MS Kinect like interfaces. I always thought that it would be one of the big IT players, perhaps Microsoft, to launch something to replace the mouse and provide the means for 3D, gesture based, computer navigation. It seems though that another n...

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A great lesson for anyone who thinks that predicting the future is easy!

Posted by Forecasting Net on June 26, 2011 at 6:03 PM Comments comments (0)

Today’s clear winner is tomorrow’s obvious mistake. It's no news that our world is changing rapidly, sometimes in directions that we do not anticipate. And that's good because it gives the opportunity to newcomers to advance quickly and introduce new ideas and concepts thus changing the competitive landscape forever. Take social media, for instance. It's no secret today that Myspace is washed-out. But it wasn't always like this...


Find out more about t...

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Are we at the peak of the innovation cycle?

Posted by Forecasting Net on June 26, 2011 at 5:34 PM Comments comments (0)

An excellent article about innovation dynamics based on Kondratiev long waves theory (


Could it be that we are at the peak of the innovation cycle, facing a possible downfall in the future? Just consider the implications for our technology driven world…


Click here for ...

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Social media: just a fad or are they here to stay?

Posted by Forecasting Net on May 17, 2011 at 5:38 PM Comments comments (1)

Discover how deep is Facebook, YouTube, LinkedIn, Twitter, and other social media networks, attached to our personal and professional lives. Learn why they are so important, by comparing their average number of Google searches per month against celebrities, IT giants, and dream gadgets.


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Global warming-Temperature increase forecast

Posted by Forecasting Net on April 27, 2011 at 7:52 PM Comments comments (0)

Following a previous entry about global CO2 concentration level and a suggestion by a LinkedIn group member, I used the Forecasting Tool to forecast the global temperature rise. I used actual data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)* for 1950 up to 2...

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A valuable resource about forecasting

Posted by Forecasting Net on April 19, 2011 at 6:24 PM Comments comments (0)

Visit, a valuable resource, for everyone interested in forecasting. Theodore Modis, an acclaimed scientist and futurist, is largely responsible for making S-curve fitting, the same methodology that I used in developing the Forecasting Tool application, known to a broader audience.

Check out my favorite...

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Arthur Clarke predicts our future!

Posted by Forecasting Net on April 18, 2011 at 2:35 PM Comments comments (0)

In this excellent video, Arthur Clarke predicts our future back in 1964! Makes us all feel “envy” of this incredible man and futurist…

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Global warming-CO2 concentration level forecast

Posted by Forecasting Net on March 21, 2011 at 5:40 PM Comments comments (7)

The increased CO2 concentration level due to human activity contribute to global warming with significant repercussions to our planet. At 2008, the CO2 level was 385.34* ppm (parts per million). According to recent research**, if we reach the 450 ppm limit, this will result in an increase of the global temperature by more than 2°C (3.6°F) with catastrophic repercussions for the environment. This is the limit that usually most developed countries take into account when drawing their ...

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Facebook active users forecast

Posted by Forecasting Net on March 20, 2011 at 4:48 PM Comments comments (5)

When I show the Social Network movie, I was intrigued by the way that Facebook came out of nothing and gradually evolved to the most successful social media site today. It launched on 2004 and reached the first million active users by the end of the same year. After 2004, it really went sky high, reaching 500 million active users, in less than 6 years! Naturally, I was amazed and asked myself the obvious question: how far this could go on without stopping. Will ...

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