|Posted by forecastingtool on January 30, 2013 at 6:15 PM||comments (5)|
It’s been four years since the still raging global economic crisis begun in 2008. Although our understanding of the crisis is getting better, we still don’t have a clear idea where the global economy is heading and what kind of growth (if any) we should be expecting in the future.
According to an article published by...Read Full Post »
|Posted by forecastingtool on November 25, 2012 at 5:35 PM||comments (6)|
Contrary to popular belief that increased lending, first in the financial and corporate sector and then on a country level, is the key source of Europe’s problems, it turns out that this may be just the tip of the iceberg in a series of many structural problems, namely: reduced global influence, low growth, population ageing, reduced competitiveness against developing countries, increasing energy dependency, and loose coordination among participating countries. Overall, Europe...Read Full Post »
|Posted by forecastingtool on July 30, 2012 at 7:20 AM||comments (1)|
You are walking on the street, en-route for meeting your girlfriend. You are late and should have already made reservations for lunch. Disaster? Not really! Your sunglasses-your latest gadget-takes care of everything: spotting the closest Italian restaurant-your girlfriend loves Italian cuisine, making reservations on-line and giving directions to you and your girlfriend-you both bought the same pair! One more thing to take care of and everything should be in order. You instruct your sunglass...Read Full Post »
|Posted by forecastingtool on April 17, 2012 at 3:30 PM||comments (1)|
In this article*, published in Marketing Research Association’s Alert! magazine, Roger’s Diffusion of Innovations model, based on a simple s-curve, is explored as well as its numerous applications in marketing, business, and the economy. A case study of application to the global economy is offered as a proof of concept for the famous model.
Download the articleRead Full Post »
|Posted by forecastingtool on July 11, 2011 at 3:20 PM||comments (15)|
Following the 2008 credit crunch, the global economy entered a serious recession, marking negative growth rates at 2009, for the first time in 60 years. The initial efforts of the G20 to reinitiate the economy by the deployment of extensive stimulus packages, although successful in the beginning, resulted in the significant rise of public debts challenging the ...Read Full Post »
|Posted by forecastingtool on June 26, 2011 at 6:03 PM||comments (0)|
Today’s clear winner is tomorrow’s obvious mistake. It's no news that our world is changing rapidly, sometimes in directions that we do not anticipate. And that's good because it gives the opportunity to newcomers to advance quickly and introduce new ideas and concepts thus changing the competitive landscape forever. Take social media, for instance. It's no secret today that Myspace is washed-out. But it wasn't always like this...
Find out more about t...Read Full Post »
|Posted by forecastingtool on June 26, 2011 at 5:34 PM||comments (0)|
An excellent article about innovation dynamics based on Kondratiev long waves theory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kondratiev_wave).
Could it be that we are at the peak of the innovation cycle, facing a possible downfall in the future? Just consider the implications for our technology driven world…
Click here for ...Read Full Post »
|Posted by forecastingtool on April 27, 2011 at 7:52 PM||comments (1)|
|Posted by forecastingtool on April 19, 2011 at 6:24 PM||comments (0)|
Visit www.growth-dynamics.com, a valuable resource, for everyone interested in forecasting. Theodore Modis, an acclaimed scientist and futurist, is largely responsible for making S-curve fitting, the same methodology that I used in developing the Forecasting Tool application, known to a broader audience.
Check out my favorite...Read Full Post »
|Posted by forecastingtool on April 18, 2011 at 2:35 PM||comments (0)|
In this excellent video, Arthur Clarke predicts our future back in 1964! Makes us all feel “envy” of this incredible man and futurist…