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The future of the global economy: 2013 - 2030

Posted by forecastingtool on January 30, 2013 at 6:15 PM Comments comments (5)

 

It’s been four years since the still raging global economic crisis begun in 2008. Although our understanding of the crisis is getting better, we still don’t have a clear idea where the global economy is heading and what kind of growth (if any) we should be expecting in the future.

 

According to an article published by...

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The future of Europe

Posted by forecastingtool on November 25, 2012 at 5:35 PM Comments comments (6)

Contrary to popular belief that increased lending, first in the financial and corporate sector and then on a country level, is the key source of Europe’s problems, it turns out that this may be just the tip of the iceberg in a series of many structural problems, namely: reduced global influence, low growth, population ageing, reduced competitiveness against developing countries, increasing energy dependency, and loose coordination among participating countries. Overall, Europe...

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S-curves and their Applications in Marketing, Business, and the Economy

Posted by forecastingtool on April 17, 2012 at 3:30 PM Comments comments (0)

 

In this article*, published in Marketing Research Association’s Alert! magazine, Roger’s Diffusion of Innovations model, based on a simple s-curve, is explored as well as its numerous applications in marketing, business, and the economy. A case study of application to the global economy is offered as a proof of concept for the famous model.

 

Download the article

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The rise and fall of modern empires - Part II

Posted by forecastingtool on March 14, 2012 at 4:30 PM Comments comments (2)

 

As we found out in Part I, economic power has been shifting from the West to the East for many decades. In Part II we explore the dynamics of income inequality through the years. We discover that it still holds strong, as full convergence is far away, despite considerable improvements in narrowing the income gap, especially between Asia and the West.

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The rise and fall of modern empires - Part I

Posted by forecastingtool on October 1, 2011 at 1:35 AM Comments comments (11)

Observe the shift of power from Western to Asian economies, in this "journey" of global economic dominance, starting after World War II all the way up to 2010. Find out why this is a long term trend and how we could have predicted it decades ago.

 

Download the full analysis here

 

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Henry Kissinger talks about the China challenge, forty years after his visit!

Posted by forecastingtool on July 18, 2011 at 12:30 PM Comments comments (2)

Henry Kissinger, former Secretary of State under Nixon, made two trips to China, in July and October 1971. That was just a few years before the Chinese miracle began, when Deng Xiaoping succeeded Mao Zedong in the late 1970s.

 

When asked, during a recent TV appearance in CNN, Ki...

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Global economic crisis: could we have predicted it?

Posted by forecastingtool on July 11, 2011 at 3:20 PM Comments comments (15)

Following the 2008 credit crunch, the global economy entered a serious recession, marking negative growth rates at 2009, for the first time in 60 years. The initial efforts of the G20 to reinitiate the economy by the deployment of extensive stimulus packages, although successful in the beginning, resulted in the significant rise of public debts challenging the ...

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Could the colonization of space be the next big thing?

Posted by forecastingtool on July 3, 2011 at 7:06 AM Comments comments (1)

 

According to Joseph Schumpeter, innovation follows cycles and currently we are at the

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Are we at the peak of the innovation cycle?

Posted by forecastingtool on June 26, 2011 at 5:34 PM Comments comments (0)

An excellent article about innovation dynamics based on Kondratiev long waves theory (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kondratiev_wave).

 

Could it be that we are at the peak of the innovation cycle, facing a possible downfall in the future? Just consider the implications for our technology driven world…

 

Click here for ...

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